Troy Tulowitzki is Overrated – Here’s Why

Check the numbers

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Sept 16, 2013; Denver, CO, USA; Colorado Rockies shortstop Troy Tulowitzki (2) hits a double in the first inning of the game against the St. Louis Cardinals at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

95% of people right now are reading this thinking “I can already tell this is gonna be stupid but I want to read this dude’s logic.”

Bear with me

Let me make it clear, I didn’t say Troy Tulowitzki is not a good baseball player, not a good shortstop, etc. In fact you’ll find out by the end of this that he’s an above average shortstop…but still overrated.

He’s currently rated by most of the public as a top 3 shortstop in the league, wouldn’t you agree? Do his numbers agree? Let’s look.

This is how the baseball public views Troy Tulowitzki. Here are his numbers for his career. 10 years in the league with the Colorado Rockies:

BA: .297 OBP: .369 SLG: .508 wOBA: .377

Damn, for career numbers over 10 years that’s one hell of a stat line. Now let’s get to what most people haven’t¬†considered.

http://www.parkfactors.com/COL
http://www.parkfactors.com/COL

“this is an extreme hitter’s park”

How extreme exactly? Why don’t we look at Tulowitzki’s splits; his numbers on the road vs home over the last 10 years:

http://www.fangraphs.com/statsplits.aspx?playerid=3531&position=SS&season=0
http://www.fangraphs.com/statsplits.aspx?playerid=3531&position=SS&season=0

A very statistically significant gap in his home vs road numbers across the board. And trust me that it’s the same with every player that plays at Coors Field.

Now that he’s in the American League up in Toronto, here are his numbers:

BA: .232 OBP: .314 OPS: .682

Now I will agree that Tulo is in a bit of a slump right now before his injury. I’m not suggesting he’s a .230 hitter. But can you see my point? Take¬†Troy Tulowitzki out of Coors Field for the first 10 years of his career with the Colorado Rockies, and what kind of numbers do you think he puts up?

I don’t know the answer to that, but I do know he wouldn’t be a career .300 hitter. More like .275. Now don’t get me wrong, like I said a .275 hitter with an above average glove makes for an above average shortstop. But, Troy Tulowitzki is still overrated, and these numbers prove it. He’s not the GREAT player everyone that looks at his numbers thinks he is.