Rick Porcello – Can He Win The American League Cy Young Award?

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SEATTLE, WA - AUGUST 03: Starting pitcher Rick Porcello #22 of the Boston Red Sox pitches against the Seattle Mariners in the first inning at Safeco Field on August 3, 2016 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)

Rick Porcello, also known as “Pretty Ricky”, earned his major-league leading 19th win the other night in Oakland. He is now 19-3 on the season with a 3.23 ERA.

In 6 different pitching categories, Porcello ranks within the top 5 of each one for the American League. These categories are: Wins (1st-19), WHIP (2nd-1.02), Strikeouts per Walk (1st-5.50), Innings Pitched (3rd-186.2), Winning Percentage (2nd-.864), and Walks per 9 Innings (2nd-1.35).

Last season’s AL Cy Young Award winner was Dallas Keuchel of the Houston Astros. He finished the season at 20-8 with a 2.48 ERA. Rick Porcello has about 5 more starts before the regular season comes to an end. If he wins all of those starts, he would finish the season with a record of 24-3 with an ERA likely lowered to around a 3.00. If he happens to lose the remainder of the season, and his ERA goes up to around the 4.00’s, which is very unlikely, he would still finish with a record of 19-8, and he would have roughly the same numbers as a 2015 Collin McHugh, who finished 8th in AL Cy Young voting.

For those of you who love saying wins are a “useless stat”, and hate giving credit when credit’s due, Porcello’s wins won’t just be the only thing going for him. If he averages 7 innings in his upcoming 5 starts, he will be adding 35 innings to his current 186.2, which would add up to about 221.2 innings. That is just 10.8 innings less than Keuchel’s 232 innings pitched in 2015. And if he averages just 5 strikeouts in his upcoming 5 starts, he will finish with roughly 180 strikeouts, 11 more than Sonny Gray in 2015, who finished 3rd in AL Cy Young voting.

Rick Porcello is absolutely KILLING it right now, and can certainly finish the year with Cy Young numbers. And can we not forget when he basically told Chase Headley to go fuck himself? How can you not love the guy?

Let’s also not forget that 2-seam fastball he throws that says “Cy Young” all over it

And just to top things off, ESPN also agrees with me. Just sayin’.

2016 Cy Young Predictor – AL
RK PLAYER TEAM CYP G GS IP ER K SV SHO W-L ERA VB
1 Rick Porcello BOS 157.5 28 28 186.2 67 154 0 0 19-3 3.23 0
2 J.A. Happ TOR 148.3 27 27 164.1 61 144 0 0 17-4 3.34 12
3 Corey Kluber CLE 142.8 27 27 183.2 63 189 0 2 15-8 3.09 12
4 Cole Hamels TEX 142.4 27 27 173.0 56 171 0 0 14-4 2.91 12
5 Zach Britton BAL 141.7 58 0 55.0 4 62 40 0 2-1 0.65 0
6 Aaron Sanchez TOR 135.4 25 25 162.1 52 134 0 0 13-2 2.88 12
7 Chris Sale CHW 131.6 26 26 185.2 64 185 0 1 15-7 3.10 0
8 Francisco Rodriguez DET 123.6 53 0 50.1 15 44 38 0 3-3 2.68 0
9 Justin Verlander DET 121.9 28 28 188.0 69 198 0 0 14-7 3.30 0
10 Roberto Osuna TOR 117.9 59 0 59.0 16 73 30 0 2-2 2.44 12