Jose Abreu’s Drop Off, By The Numbers

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Jose Abreu
Jul 31, 2014; Detroit, MI, USA; Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu (79) during the game against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

In 2014 the White Sox signed Jose Abreu out of Cuba to a 6 year $68 million contract. His rookie season was by far his best putting up a .317/.383/.581 slash line. However, his production has substantially decreased from that time to now.

WAR

WAR is an incredible way to measure a players success against the rest of the MLB. Jose Abreu’s WAR has dropped quicker than all the Mets front runners when they lost the World Series.



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Since his rookie season in 2014 when he had a stellar 5.3 WAR and decreased to 3.0 in 2015. Up until this point of the season he has a -0.4 WAR which is ranked 25th among qualified first baseman. Some players ahead of him include Yonder Alonso, CJ Cron, and Logan Morrison.

BABIP

BABIP is a player’s batting average on balls he puts in play, so strikeouts are eliminated from this average.

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Again Jose Abreu had a very good BABIP over the last two seasons, but again has fallen drastically. From 2014 to June of 2016, he has fallen from .356 to .297 which, while .297 is the MLB average, it is not nearly as high as the White Sox need it to be.

Offense Rating

The final category where Abreu has had a severe drop-off is his offensive rating. This stat combines base running and batting to show how a player helps the offense. In 2014 he had a rating of 42.7, which then was split in half as it decreased to 21.1 in 2015. Now he has reached a new low, as his offensive rating has fallen to -6.9.

If Abreu keeps decreasing at this rate, the White Sox would waste a lot of money over the next few years.